Shell Scenario Panel

A Claude Code-powered Shell-style scenario planning system with multi-specialist consultation, a dedicated impact analysis layer, worldview integration, and rigorous documentation enforcement.

Overview

This is a structured scenario planning tool based on the Shell methodology, featuring:

• Dr. Michelle Wells (Moderator) - Facilitates a worldview-first scenario workflow with a dedicated impact translation layer
• Worldview Elicitation - Understands how you think about the topic before exploring scenarios
• 6 Domain Specialist Consultants - Diverse expert perspectives (ecology, geopolitics, culture, technology, economics, contrarian)
• Impact Translation Cast - Named composite personas that translate external scenarios into actor-relative consequences
• Dr. Anya Petrov (Research Specialist) - Multi-source research and fact-checking
• Dr. Mei Chen (Quality Analyst) - Automated quality gates prevent regression to generic analysis
• Worldview Integration - Connects scenarios back to your mental model
• Automated Quality Enforcement - Hooks trigger quality gates, ensure intellectual integrity

The “Lens-World-Lens” Architecture

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASE 0: WORLDVIEW ELICITATION                                │
│  Understand how you think about this topic                     │
│  OUTPUT: worldview_model.md                                    │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
                              │
                              ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASES 1-5: EXTERNAL SCENARIO PLANNING                        │
│  Focal question → Predetermined → Uncertainties → Scenarios    │
│  OUTPUT: 4 divergent scenarios                                 │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
                              │
                              ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASE 6A / 6B: IMPACT → STRATEGY                              │
│  Translate scenarios into actor-relative consequences, then    │
│  test preparations, positioning, and response options          │
│  OUTPUT: impact_analysis.md, strategy_analysis.md              │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
                              │
                              ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASE 7: WORLDVIEW INTEGRATION                                │
│  Connect scenarios, impacts, and responses to your lens        │
│  OUTPUT: worldview_integration.md                              │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Quick Start

1. Prerequisites

Required: Perplexity CLI (pp-cli)

npm install -g @dbmcco/pp-cli
pp --version

Required: worldview-elicitor skill