一个基于Claude Code的Shell风格情景规划系统，配备多专业咨询、专属影响分析层、世界观集成和严格的文档执行。

概述

这是一个基于壳牌方法论的结构化情景规划工具，具备：

• Dr. Michelle Wells（主持人）- 促进以世界观为先的情景工作流程，并设有专门的影响转化层
• 世界观引发 - 在探索情境前理解你如何思考该主题
• 6 领域专家顾问 - 多元专家视角（生态学、地缘政治、文化、技术、经济学、逆向观点）
• 影响翻译演员阵容 - 将外部场景转化为行为者相关后果的命名复合角色
• 安雅·彼得罗夫博士（研究专家）- 多来源研究与事实核查
• 陈美博士（质量分析师）- 自动质量门防止回归到通用分析
• 世界观整合 - 将情景与你的心理模型连接起来
• 自动质量执法 - 钩子触发质量门槛，确保知识诚信

“透镜-世界-透镜”架构

快速启动

Shell Scenario Panel

A Claude Code-powered Shell-style scenario planning system with multi-specialist consultation, a dedicated impact analysis layer, worldview integration, and rigorous documentation enforcement.

Overview

This is a structured scenario planning tool based on the Shell methodology, featuring:

• Dr. Michelle Wells (Moderator) - Facilitates a worldview-first scenario workflow with a dedicated impact translation layer
• Worldview Elicitation - Understands how you think about the topic before exploring scenarios
• 6 Domain Specialist Consultants - Diverse expert perspectives (ecology, geopolitics, culture, technology, economics, contrarian)
• Impact Translation Cast - Named composite personas that translate external scenarios into actor-relative consequences
• Dr. Anya Petrov (Research Specialist) - Multi-source research and fact-checking
• Dr. Mei Chen (Quality Analyst) - Automated quality gates prevent regression to generic analysis
• Worldview Integration - Connects scenarios back to your mental model
• Automated Quality Enforcement - Hooks trigger quality gates, ensure intellectual integrity

The “Lens-World-Lens” Architecture

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASE 0: WORLDVIEW ELICITATION                                │
│  Understand how you think about this topic                     │
│  OUTPUT: worldview_model.md                                    │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
                              │
                              ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASES 1-5: EXTERNAL SCENARIO PLANNING                        │
│  Focal question → Predetermined → Uncertainties → Scenarios    │
│  OUTPUT: 4 divergent scenarios                                 │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
                              │
                              ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASE 6A / 6B: IMPACT → STRATEGY                              │
│  Translate scenarios into actor-relative consequences, then    │
│  test preparations, positioning, and response options          │
│  OUTPUT: impact_analysis.md, strategy_analysis.md              │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
                              │
                              ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  PHASE 7: WORLDVIEW INTEGRATION                                │
│  Connect scenarios, impacts, and responses to your lens        │
│  OUTPUT: worldview_integration.md                              │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Quick Start

1. Prerequisites

Required: Perplexity CLI (pp-cli)

npm install -g @dbmcco/pp-cli
pp --version

Required: worldview-elicitor skill