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askroundtable/expert-skills

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Make your AI think like Munger, Feynman, or Paul Graham — load real mental models, not personas.

개요

Make your AI think like Munger, Feynman, or Paul Graham — not by role-playing, but by loading the actual mental models they use to make decisions. Giving Claude a persona ("act as Charlie Munger") produces worse outputs than loading Munger's actual frameworks. The persona is decoration. The framework is the mechanism. Works with Claude Code, Cursor, Windsurf, or any SKILL.md-compatible tool. Persona prompting tells the AI who to be. Expert Skills tells it how to think. Each module encodes an expert's actual cognitive process: - they recognize ("this looks like a Circle of Competence violation") - they apply (Inversion, Leverage, First Principles) - they notice that others miss - they carry (so the analysis flags its own limitations) All driven by a 6-step cognitive engine based on how real experts make decisions under uncertainty (Gary Klein's Recognition-Primed Decision model).

README

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Expert Skills

Make your AI think like Munger, Feynman, or Paul Graham — not by role-playing, but by loading the actual mental models they use to make decisions.

You:    "My friend wants me to invest $50K in his restaurant. He's a great cook."

Claude: "Sure, let's look at the opportunity..."

Claude + expert-munger:
        "You said 'he's a great cook' — that's Circle of Competence Violation:
         you're judging investment ability by cooking skill.
         Invert: what guarantees this fails in 5 years?
         33% of savings, illiquid, and your only evidence is a personality trait."

Giving Claude a persona (“act as Charlie Munger”) produces worse outputs than loading Munger’s actual frameworks. The persona is decoration. The framework is the mechanism.


Install

npx openskills install https://github.com/AskRoundtable/expert-skills

Works with Claude Code, Cursor, Windsurf, or any SKILL.md-compatible tool.


Experts

Module How they think Ask them about
expert-munger Inversion, Circle of Competence, Margin of Safety “Should I invest in X?” “What could go wrong with this deal?”
expert-naval Leverage (code/media/capital), Specific Knowledge, Principal vs Agent “Should I take this job?” “How do I build long-term wealth?”
expert-feynman First Principles decomposition, Feynman Technique, Analogy “Explain X to me like I’m 12” “How does this actually work?”
expert-kahneman System 1 vs System 2, Loss Aversion, Anchoring “Am I being rational about this?” “What biases am I missing?”
expert-graham Do Things That Don’t Scale, Schlep Blindness, Default Alive “Is this a good startup idea?” “How do I get my first users?”

Examples

Career decision + expert-naval:

You:    "I got a job offer — 40% pay raise but I'd be managing a team instead of coding."

Claude: "That's a significant raise. Let's weigh the pros and cons..."

Claude + expert-naval:
        "This is a Leverage trap. You're trading permissionless leverage (code)
         for the oldest, weakest form — labor leverage (managing people).
         The raise is linear; your coding career compounds.
         Ask: in 10 years, which version of you has more Specific Knowledge
         and more options?"

Startup idea + expert-graham:

You:    "I want to build an AI app for meal planning. The market is huge."

Claude: "Great idea! The meal planning market is growing fast..."

Claude + expert-graham:
        "You said 'the market is huge' — that's a Tarpit Idea signal.
         If it's obviously good and the market is huge, why hasn't someone
         already won? What's the schlep everyone is avoiding?
         More important: do YOU have this problem? Are you Default Alive
         if you build this — or are you betting on funding?"

Cognitive bias + expert-kahneman:

You:    "We tested 3 marketing strategies. Strategy B got 20% more clicks
         last week so we're going all-in on it."

Claude: "Strategy B clearly outperformed. Here's how to scale it..."

Claude + expert-kahneman:
        "One week of data is textbook System 1 thinking — your brain wants
         a narrative from noise. With 3 strategies and 1 week, you're
         anchored to a small sample. What's the base rate for weekly
         variance in your click data? This could be regression to the mean
         dressed up as a winner."

Why Not Just “Act as Munger”?

Persona prompting tells the AI who to be. Expert Skills tells it how to think.

Each module encodes an expert’s actual cognitive process:

  • Patterns they recognize (“this looks like a Circle of Competence violation”)
  • Mental models they apply (Inversion, Leverage, First Principles)
  • Cues they notice that others miss
  • Blind spots they carry (so the analysis flags its own limitations)

All driven by a 6-step cognitive engine based on how real experts make decisions under uncertainty (Gary Klein’s Recognition-Primed Decision model).


Performance

Evaluated against baseline Claude (no expert modules, temperature=0) using a 4-dimension rubric across 3 real-world cases per expert.

Expert Domain Delta vs Baseline
expert-graham Startups / Growth +38% to +83%
expert-feynman First Principles / Learning +38% to +57%
expert-naval Career / Wealth / Life +38% to +57%
expert-kahneman Behavioral Economics / Decisions +31% to +63%
expert-munger Investment / Business +18% to +41%

Rubric dimensions: pattern recognition accuracy, mental model application, blind spot awareness, and actionability of recommendation.


How It Works

Two-layer architecture: a cognitive engine runs the thinking process, expert modules supply domain knowledge.

┌──────────────────────────────────────────┐
│              expert-engine               │
│         6-step cognitive process         │
│                                          │
│  Pattern Recognition → Mental Simulation │
│  → Anomaly Detection → Insight           │
│  → Epistemic Audit                       │
└──────────────────┬───────────────────────┘
                   │ loads domain content from
        ┌──────────┼──────────┐
        ▼          ▼          ▼
  expert-munger  expert-naval  expert-feynman
  patterns.md    models-core   blind-spots.md
  models-core    blind-spots   ...

The engine runs every time. Expert modules supply situation patterns, mental models, cue sensitivity lists, and known blind spots — content the engine could never have without domain knowledge.

View this README on GitHub

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